Director's Welcome
Welcome to the State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) website. SUFG has been assisting the
State of Indiana for over 20 years through its forecasts of electricity consumption, prices, and
resource requirements. SUFG also performs analyses of a number of issues facing the energy
industries. Feel free to browse through the SUFG publications and presentations; a number of
them are available for free download here. Also, please let us know if you have any questions
or comments.
State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) News
In February, SUFG and the Purdue Climate Change Research Center (PCCRC) released "The Projected Impacts of Carbon Dioxide Emissions Reduction Legislation on Electricity Prices in Indiana"
click here to download
The report is a collaborative effort between SUFG and PCCRC to determine the expected effect of climate change legislation on Indiana's electricity industry.
December 21, 2007 – Indiana Electricity Projections: The 2007 Forecast is released...
click here to download the 2007 Forecast
This report represents the eleventh set of statewide electricity projections produced by SUFG. These projections include forecasts of electricity usage, prices, and resource needs for a 20-year period.
In September, SUFG released the "2007 Renewable Energy Resources Study,"
click here to download
This report represents the fifth annual study of renewable resources in Indiana performed by SUFG. It was prepared to fulfill SUFG’s obligation under Indiana Code 8-1-8.8 (added in 2002) to “conduct an annual study on the use, availability, and economics of using renewable energy resources in Indiana.”
In July 2007, SUFG released a staff report “Energy Trends Report,”
click here to download
The report illustrates a number of trends occurring in the energy industries, from both national and Indiana perspectives.
Future Activities
- SUFG will continue its efforts to improve its natural gas modeling system. Specific focus areas will include updating the natural gas database, incorporating local syngas supply, and refining the level of detail in the region surrounding Indiana.
- SUFG is in the process of developing a generation portfolio risk management model that determines the appropriate mix of generation to meet load requirements while minimizing the expected cost of electricity with the risk of higher cost due to such factors as price volatility and environmental restrictions. Further work includes incorporating additional sources of electricity such as wind and different technologies within fuel sources (such as IGCC vs. pulverized coal).
- Recent developments in electricity markets have led to a general lowering of utility reserve margins. SUFG will use loss of load expectation analysis techniques to develop a more refined estimate of the appropriate level of reserves on a statewide basis.
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